Britain’s Fantasy Economics 1530-2016: a short history

British governments from Henry VIII to David Cameron funded unaffordable aspirations by using other people’s money. This tactic is increasingly difficult to achieve as time passes. British politicians, nonetheless, are addicted to sources of revenue which are unconventional. They believe it’s a viable economic policy and avoids direct taxation. Boris Johnson’s, ‘I want to have my cake and eat it,’ summarises this long-term fantasy. And the outcome, in 2022, is

“…the total cost of servicing the Government’s £2.4trillion debt pile is set to hit an eye-watering £584billion over the next six years – or almost four times the annual budget of the National Health Service.”

The Brexit campaign, 2016, was fuelled by Conservative politicians claiming that they had ‘found’ a new source of revenue. These new funds would enhance Britain creating a globally important economic and military power.2

The dissolution of the monasteries

 Henry VIII spent the overflowing treasury inheritance his father left and then looted the monasteries who were,   

“…spectacularly rich…..[they owned] about one-third of all the land in England and Wales.3

Henry used this looted capital as revenue. Once it had evaporated, Britain was poor again. The Stuarts, 1603-1714, inherited a country which was poor and resistant to their taxation policies. Despite some very imaginative sleights of hand, which were temporarily successful, they provoked a terminal crisis.4

Forced Loans, 1626, and Ship Money, 1634

Charles I was despised by parliament who rejected his taxation propositions. They believed he was a Roman Catholic, manipulated by ‘evil’ advisors. Ingeniously, Charles by-passed parliament with Forced Loans and Ship Money. Both were more-or-less legal but were hated by the tax-paying gentry. About 30%  refused to pay, or organise their collection. This was a ‘Red flag’ situation, which Charles ignored.

Parliament became an implacable enemy and further taxation requests were refused. Civil war broke out, 1641, and eight years later he was executed as a ‘Man of Blood’.

Imperialism 1700-1900

Britain brutally exploited its empire. From 1763 the Caribbean sugar islands turbo-charged the slave trade.5 Slavery enriched British society, including the middle-classes. It caused moral questioning and the slave trade ended in 1806. (It was abolished totally in 1833.6) Shortly afterwards Britain became an international drug dealer. The Opium Wars7 forced China to import Indian opium, which enriched Britain. Chinese addiction was British economic policy from 1839. Slavery and drug dealing helped Britain to become the world’s ‘policeman’. It was simultaneously the wealthiest and most powerful nation until the two world wars. These catastrophes bankrupted her and demoted her to the second rank of countries.

North Sea Oil, 1979-present

Margaret Thatcher inherited North Sea Oil revenues in 1979. This cornucopia was squandered for short term political advantage.8 She followed Henry VIII’s template and the opportunity to stop Britain’s terminal decline was lost. Once again capital was converted into revenue and long-term investments weren’t made. Thatcher was addicted to quick fix ‘solutions’. She doubled down on her North Sea Oil disaster with privatisations of public assets. The failure of privatisation, as an economic policy, ended in 2016. The last throw of fantasy economics came when Conservative politicians9 orchestrated a win in the Brexit referendum

Conclusion

The post-Covid world exposed British economic fragility. Rishi Sunak, Britain’s latest prime minister, is trying to recalibrate British economic policy,

“…any possible benefits of Brexit, of which there have been precious few to date…were snuffed out by the Sunak-Hunt determination to put fiscal rectitude above everything else.10 (my emphasis)

A recalibration of economic policy will demand brutal spending decisions, starting with Defence. This will be fiercely resisted. The recognition that Britain has lived in an economic fantasy world for 100s of years will damage many egos. The electoral penalty for shattering delusions could be terminal as the public have been taught to believe in Rule Britannia. British politicians feel entitled to strut the world stage.

Notes

1 Britain to have the highest debt burden of any major economy as cost of servicing Government’s £2.4trn debt pile balloons (msn.com)

2 The British Army’s Global Delusions | Odeboyz’s Blog (oedeboyz.com) see also for the Royal Navy Thirteen Ships and Thirty-six Admirals: The Royal Navy, 2022 | Odeboyz’s Blog (oedeboyz.com)

3 How wealthy were the monasteries in England and Wales? – Search (bing.com)

4 1629-40 parliamentary civil war; 1641-49 three civil wars; 1649-60 regime change; 1660-88 regime change; 1688 civil war/invasion plus regime change Forced Loan 1626 – Causes and effects table in A Level and IB History (getrevising.co.uk) This is a revision crib for A level students and it’s very crisp. For Ship Money see Ship money – Wikipedia

5 Treaty of Paris (1763) – Key Provisions, Outcomes & Significance – World History Edu

6 How the first Black Community was formed in London after 1772 | Odeboyz’s Blog (oedeboyz.com) and see also the cost to the British taxpayer of abolishing slavery The Price of Virtue: Bailing out Slave-owners 1833 | Odeboyz’s Blog (oedeboyz.com)

7 opium wars – Search (bing.com)

8 The Ricardian Curse, Margaret Thatcher and North Sea Oil | Odeboyz’s Blog (oedeboyz.com)

9 Non-Conservatives also supported Brexit but the principal cheer-leaders were Conservatives.

10 The week Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt killed the dream of any Brexit dividend stone dead  | Daily Mail Online The Mail is a right-wing Brexit cheer leader and this is shocking.

Posted in Economics, History, Politics, Religion | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Putin frightens a Drunk

A drunk fell down into a St Petersburg gutter. Looking up he saw a gigantic floodlit poster of Putin towering above him. A policeman on patrol heard him say;

Drunk: “I’ll never drink again. I’ll never touch another drop.”
Policeman: “Why do you say that?”
Drunk: “Putin’s smiling at me.”

Posted in Humour, Politics | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

A modern Girl Guide

Posted in education, Humour | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Book Review: Patrick Radden Keefe ~ Empire of Pain: The secret history of the Sackler Dynasty (2021)

The concept of legal drug-pushing has been a feature of USA medicine for at least thirty years. Prescription drugs are allegedly tightly controlled but Keefe demonstrates the system was perverted. The corruption was orchestrated by the Sackler Family but other pharmaceutical companies joined in. The net result was hundreds of thousands of deaths from opioid abuse. There were 76,000 deaths in 2021.1

Federal and state government was lobbied with savage meticulous energy,

Purdue [Sackler’s business] and other drug companies…spent over $700 million between 2006 and 2015 on lobbying in Washington and in all fifty states.2

They spent huge amounts of money accessing doctors so they’d prescribe OxyContin. They lied about the strength and addictive power of this drug and the drug was prescribed as a long-term ‘solution’ to pain relief. OxyContin is twice as strong as heroin.

The Sackler’s rewarded top prescribers one of whom was Walter Jacobs. “He often worked only three days a week. Nevertheless, in five years, he prescribed more than 347,000 pills of Purdue opioids.”3

The Sackler family became immensely wealthy and took evasive action when questions were asked. This was entirely successful. Despite mountains of proof they weren’t found guilty of anything more than technical offences. They paid huge fines and walked free.

This is a tremendous story written by a master in the craft. A page turner.

Notes

1 Drug Overdose Deaths in the U.S. Top 100,000 Annually (cdc.gov)

2 Keefe p. 346  

3 ibid p.384 

Posted in Economics, Health, Science | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

A dim but logical student

A science teacher tells his class, “Oxygen is essential to life. It was discovered in 1773.”

A puzzled student says, “How did they manage before 1773?”

Posted in education, Humour, Science | Tagged | 1 Comment

Bertrand Russell’s humorous anecdote on faith

“I admire especially a certain prophetess who lived beside a lake in northern New York State about the year 1820. She announced to her numerous followers that she possessed the power of walking on water, and that she proposed to do so at 11 o’clock on a certain morning. At the stated time, the faithful assembled in their thousands beside the lake. She spoke to them saying: ‘Are you all entirely persuaded that I can walk on water?’

With one voice they replied: ‘Yes, we are.’

‘In that case’, she announced, ‘there is no need for me to do so.’

… And they all went home much edified.”

Bertrand Russell, Unpopular Essays (1950)

Posted in Humour, Philosophy, Religion | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

The World Cup, 2022

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

How to be generous at Christmas

“showing a readiness to give more of something, especially money, than is strictly necessary or expected”1

Generous gifts at Christmas are a balancing act between social duty, economics and expectations. In the definition (above) ‘more’ is important. A generous person should balance ‘more’ with appropriate. The generous gift is a nuanced understanding of what’s excessive and carefully avoid that pratfall. Excessive gifts are about the giver and not the recipient. When excessive gifts are given, recipients become bit-players in a tableau for someone else’s ego trip.

What is a generous Christmas present?

Two judgements are necessary. Firstly, the generous giver must calculate what she should give and then exceed that. The calculation includes how far social benchmarks should be exceeded. If the ‘going rate’ for a teenage nephew is £50 then £100 is too much. (Is this generous gift a bribe in disguise, trying to  shape future relationships, and is, therefore, manipulation?) £100 should be replaced by, say, £60 a more socially appropriate gift. Generous but not excessive.

Secondly, recipients calculate what’s reasonable. It’s pointless panting for an iPhone from grandad if he ‘shops’ at food banks. Reality informs expectations so they intersect into something which isn’t fantasy. Generosity from this grandad might be a baseball cap. It would be generous because it reflects his economic status and a desire to give any gift at Christmas. A baseball cap exceeds expectations because the realistic expectation is there won’t be a gift of any kind. Generosity means realistic expectations are exceeded.

Christmas presents can be unwelcome because they either are too much or too little. Expectations are unmet or exceeded inappropriately. A rich aunt giving a teenage nephew a pair of socks is being (knowingly?) disappointing. However, if she bought an eBike, that gift flaunts her wealth. Either way the social ‘contract’ related to Christmas presents is shattered.

Social calculation is implicit. Our teenage boy wants an iPhone but knows, and understands, why grandad won’t get him one. He doesn’t resent his grandad because he’s socially aware about socio-economic facts. Grandad is living in poverty and can’t shell out a for a pricy Christmas gift regardless of his desire to look good. People using food banks can’t afford pricy gifts but the calculation is challenging when wealth is ‘smoke and mirrors’.

Wealthy people living in expensive houses might have little or no disposable income because of super-large mortgages.2 Expectations based on visible signs are deceptive. Expectations are heightened and unmet. Blatant poverty is one thing but self-inflicted poverty is difficult to disaggregate by children. The social calculation in this situation is nuanced or, even, impenetrable. Christmas can be very trying for the children of wealthy parents whose peers have wealthy parents with large disposable incomes. Trying to explain to children that they literally can’t afford generous gifts is hard work in a counter-intuitive environment.

Generosity can transform into an arms race and stops being ‘generous’. Gifts become excessive. Excessive is when people lose sight of the meaning of ‘generous’ and think it means an unlimited more. Creating a debt repayment programme to be generous misses the point. Generosity is exceeding expectations which are realistic within your economic environment. A generous gift is appropriately generous and not excessive. And that should be understood by recipients.

Notes

1 generous meaning – Search (bing.com)

2 This is probably naïve as people often try to keep up ‘appearances’ by going into debt People are going into debt thanks to Christmas spending | Metro News

Posted in Economics, Philosophy | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Chris Rock on Fame

Yeah, I love being famous. It’s almost like being white, y’know?

Posted in Humour, quips | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

George Harrison as a parent

In 1978, George married Olivia Arias and in the same year they had a son, Dhani.  Dhani only discovered his father’s past when he was at school.  “I came home one day from school after being chased by kids singing “Yellow Submarine”, and I didn’t understand why.  ‘It just seemed surreal: why are they singing that song to me?” 

I came home and freaked out to my dad: “Why didn’t you tell me you were in the Beatles?” 

And he said: “Oh, sorry. Probably should have told you that.” 

It’s impossible to imagine, John, Paul or Ringo neglecting to mention they were in the Beatles to their children.

*Love and Let Die* – Marginal REVOLUTION

Posted in Autobiography, education | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment