Creative Thinking

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A cosy night in

Jim and Sarah were watching TV when he got up and left the room. After a couple of minutes, he came back in wearing a coat, hat and scarf.

“Are you going out Jim?”

“No. I’ve turned the heating off.”

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Britain’s most expensive house in understandable money

The most expensive house in Britain has been sold for £139m1

£139m is a figure which is very difficult to understand for ordinary people. So! This translation might help.

£139,000,000 divided by a thousand pounds per day is 13,900 days

13,900 days is 38.08 years

The most expensive house in Britain was sold for the equivalent of you spending a £1000 a day for 38 years.

This is a reason for a wealth tax, which might not be the worst idea in the political world.

Note

1 Britain’s ‘White House’ with 40 bedrooms, a ballroom & underground swimming pool is sold to mystery buyer for £139m

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Victoria Wood on vegetables

“My children won’t even eat chips because some know-all bastard at school told them a potato was a vegetable.”

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Book Review: Martin Cruz Smith ~ Hotel Ukraine (2025)

Authors who create wonderful characters own a gold mine.1 Killing a ‘Golden Goose’ is very expensive. Lee Child outsourced the Reacher series to his brother. Ian Ranken’s Rebus recently was imprisoned for murder and then solved a murder and lives on. Reacher and Rebus live forever!

Martin Cruz Smith’s eleventh Arkady Renko bucks the trend. This is the last one

Smith gives him a wonderful send-off. Renko carefully conceals his Parkinson’s disease knowing that if it’s discovered he’d have to retire. The book is set in the present. The Ukraine war is corroding Russian society with the well-connected evading wartime service. Russian gangsterism is rampant and permeates the armed forces. The war is savage and Smith blames gangsters who are present at all levels of government.

The murder of a government official leads to a quasi-official gangster organisation, and a member of the elite FSB collaborating.2 They are plotting against Putin whilst being shock-troops for the army.

Arkady Renko triumphs and bows out FOR EVER!

Definitely worth reading.

Notes

1 The first Reacher novel came out in 1997; the first Rebus novel came out in 1987. Cruz’s Arkady Renko novels began in 1981 – 44 years ago!

2 FSB is the successor to the KGB

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Why Sherlock Holmes wasn’t Scottish

“Police have arrested a 75-year-old man in connection with the death of 65-year-old dog walker who was shot dead on a countryside track…..

Police Scotland had initially believed that Low’s death was non-suspicious and medically related, but a medical examination six days after his body was discovered established that he had injuries consistent with being fatally shot.” [my emphasis]

Source: The Guardian 25th May 2024 p32

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Book Lover

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A lawyer has news for a client

“I have good and bad news.”

“What’s the bad news?” 

“The bad news is, your blood is all over the crime scene, and DNA tests prove you’re guilty.”

“What’s the good news?”

“Your cholesterol is 130.”

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The Economics of Transplant Surgery: Britain 2025

The problem: There are 8,096 people on the active transplant waiting list.1

The solution: There were 568,613 deaths, who were potential donors, in Britain in 2024.2

Discussion

There is a tragic mis-match between people needing transplants and supply. Transplants are the difference between gruelling treatment and an active life. This is ‘market failure’. The current system is failing and should be changed. The difficulty is that many people feel revulsion at the idea of their body being used for strangers. Economists pivot towards incentives.

The current British strategy is altruism, which is the, willingness to do things that bring  advantages to others, even if it results in disadvantage for yourself.3 British organ donation is voluntary and motivated by a desire to do good even after death. The system is creaking. Desperately ill people are waiting a long time for donations to become available and some die whilst waiting. A modification of the altruistic system is necessary to overcome the problem of revulsion. Incentives, however, must be calibrated to add to and not replace altruism to improve the supply of organs.

A cash incentive is the normal route. It should be remembered that funeral expenses are considerable.4 An incentive could link organ donation and funeral costs. Obviously this is a lottery because only some people would be called upon to donate their organs. There is a massive excess of deaths annually compared to ‘only’ eight thousand on the active transplant list. Being a potential donor wouldn’t guarantee your funeral expenses being met. Perhaps a further incentive is needed like paying an access fee for being willing?

The fact of lengthening active waiting lists is indicative of market failure. Incentives that are attractive could induce the sale of organs. Many people might find this unacceptable as it involves monetising the organs of the body during life.

Those who are poorer may be more inclined to put their kidneys up for sale.5 

So what?

Why is there a difference in acceptability between organ donation post-mortem and pre-mortem? A poor person monetising their body is funding a present need with an opportunity?6 It does , however, feel wrong for rich people using poverty to enhance their life. It feels ghoulish. The disparity of economic power might be coercion.

Waiting for an organ transplant is gruelling and destructive of life’s pleasures. Kidney dialysis sessions are unpleasant.

Each session takes around 4 hours. Most people need 3 sessions a week.7  There are about 30,000 UK citizens on dialysis machines.8

The cost of dialysis transplant and machine treatment for the NHS is about £660m pa. The NHS is clear about the cost-benefit advantages of transplants versus dialysis,

When the transplant is stable it costs about £2000 per person per year vs about £20,000 for dialysis – i.e. about 10% of the cost. The quality of life with a transplant is a lot better as well. So, if you are suitable, try very hard to have one.9

Using the concept ‘market failure’ for life-and-deathillnesses is brutal. Unfortunately, evading the decision-making process by being squeamish is delusional. Something must be done to alleviate suffering and use NHS’s resources in the best possible way for the maximum number of people.

Notes

1 Organ transplant waiting list hits record high as donor and transplant numbers fall – NHS Organ Donation

2 Death registration summary statistics, England and Wales: 2024 – GOV.UK

3 ALTRUISM | English meaning – Cambridge Dictionary see also NHS Organ Donor Register – NHS Organ Donation

4 Pre-paid Funeral Plans – Pre-arranged funerals – Co-op Funeralcare Medals could be used as a public acknowledgement of altruistic behaviour.

5 Susskind, Richard; Susskind, Daniel. The Future of the Professions: How Technology Will Transform the Work of Human Experts (pp. 241-242).

6 Suicide Act 1961 – Wikipedia This act decriminalised the act of suicide but it also but extension gave the citizen the right of their actions towards their body. By extension the monetisation of the body by selling body parts is legal even if distasteful.

7 How dialysis is done – NHS

8 Dialysis for kidney failure: evidence to improve care

9 loc.cit

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Don’t ask rhetorical questions

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